TCU
W-L: (33- 5) PR = 97.6175Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1106 A NC A&T CA ( 8-19, 92.2) 82-43 1109 A Sam Houston CUSA (16-13, 94.2) 88-46 1112 A Tenn St OV ( 5-22, 92.2) **-39 1116 A NC State ACC (21-11, 96.6) 69-59 1120 A Tarleton St WAC T (13-17, 93.2) 80-32 1123 A UTRGV SL (19-14, 93.6) 93-57 1127 A Richmond A10 (27- 8, 95.9) 68-52 1128 A UAB AME (11-19, 93.5) 82-61 1203 A Incarn Word SL (12-17, 92.6) 84-56 1206 A TX-El Paso CUSA (11-17, 93.1) 95-40 1214 A Jacksonville AS (22- 9, 94.6) 89-49 1216 A AK-Pine Bl SWAC U (15-16, 92.5) **-54 1220 A Kansas St B12 (18-18, 95.8) 77-55 1231 A BYU B12 (24-12, 96.1) 72-48 103 H Utah B12 (17-14, 95.8) 77-87 107 A Oklahoma St B12 (23-11, 96.6) 69-61 111 A Arizona St B12 (24-11, 96.2) 77-46 114 A West Va B12 (27- 8, 97.3) 51-50 114 A West Va B12 (27- 8, 97.3) 51-50 117 A Arizona B12 (12-18, 94.7) 78-62 119 H Ohio St B10 (27- 9, 97.9) 69-71 124 A UCF B12 (11-20, 94.4) 67-50 129 A Kansas B12 (22-14, 96.0) 79-77 201 H Texas Tech B12 (26- 8, 96.6) 60-62 204 A Houston B12 ( 7-23, 94.2) 90-45 208 H Colorado B12 (23-12, 96.4) 79-80 212 A Baylor B12 (25- 9, 97.0) 83-67 215 A West Va B12 (27- 8, 97.3) 59-50 218 A Houston B12 ( 7-23, 94.2) 72-50 222 A Iowa St B12 (21-11, 96.2) 80-73 225 A Cincinnati B12 (11-20, 94.8) 83-70 301 A Baylor B12 (25- 9, 97.0) 65-53 306 A BYU B12 (24-12, 96.1) 63-46 307 A Kansas St B12 (18-18, 95.8) 74-62 308 H West Va B12 (27- 8, 97.3) 53-62 320 A UC San Diego BW (24- 9, 94.5) 86-40 322 A Washington B10 (23-11, 97.0) 62-59 328 A Virginia ACC (21-13, 96.1) 79-69
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1106 A NC A&T 82-43 39 5 0.00
1109 A Sam Houston 88-46 42 3 0.00
1112 A Tenn St **-39 83 5 0.00
1116 A NC State 69-59 10 1 1.02
1120 A Tarleton St 80-32 48 4 0.00
1123 A UTRGV 93-57 36 4 0.00
1127 A Richmond 68-52 16 2 0.32
1128 A UAB 82-61 21 4 0.00
1203 A Incarn Word 84-56 28 5 0.00
1206 A TX-El Paso 95-40 55 4 0.00
1214 A Jacksonville 89-49 40 3 0.00
1216 A AK-Pine Bl **-54 55 5 0.00
1220 A Kansas St 77-55 22 2 0.17
1231 A BYU 72-48 24 1 0.50
103 H Utah 77-87 -10 2 - -3.81
107 A Oklahoma St 69-61 8 1 1.00
111 A Arizona St 77-46 31 1 0.58
114 A West Va 51-50 1 0 0.70
114 A West Va 51-50 1 0 0.70
117 A Arizona 78-62 16 3 0.00
119 H Ohio St 69-71 -2 0 -1.71
124 A UCF 67-50 17 3 0.00
129 A Kansas 79-77 2 2 0.44
201 H Texas Tech 60-62 -2 1 - -3.04
204 A Houston 90-45 45 3 0.00
208 H Colorado 79-80 -1 1 - -2.25
212 A Baylor 83-67 16 1 1.43
215 A West Va 59-50 9 0 1.70
218 A Houston 72-50 22 3 0.00
222 A Iowa St 80-73 7 1 0.60
225 A Cincinnati 83-70 13 3 0.00
301 A Baylor 65-53 12 1 1.43
306 A BYU 63-46 17 1 0.50
307 A Kansas St 74-62 12 2 0.17
308 H West Va 53-62 -9 0 - -2.32
320 A UC San Diego 86-40 46 3 0.00
322 A Washington 62-59 3 1 1.38
328 A Virginia 79-69 10 1 0.52
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 103 H Utah 77-87 -10 2 - -3.81 201 H Texas Tech 60-62 -2 1 - -3.04 208 H Colorado 79-80 -1 1 - -2.25 308 H West Va 53-62 -9 0 - -2.32 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A NC A&T ( 8-19, 92.2) 82-43 -7.73 3.23 0.01 0.80 5.17
3 A Sam Houston (16-13, 94.2) 88-46 -5.73 5.23 0.01 0.80 8.37
3 A Tenn St ( 5-22, 92.2) **-39 -7.71 3.25 0.01 0.80 5.21
3 A NC State (21-11, 96.6) 69-59 -3.27 7.69 0.01 0.80 12.30
3 A Tarleton St (13-17, 93.2) 80-32 -6.65 4.31 0.01 0.80 6.90
3 A UTRGV (19-14, 93.6) 93-57 -6.29 4.67 0.01 0.80 7.48
3 A Richmond (27- 8, 95.9) 68-52 -3.97 6.99 0.01 0.80 11.18
3 A UAB (11-19, 93.5) 82-61 -6.41 4.55 0.01 0.80 7.28
3 A Incarn Word (12-17, 92.6) 84-56 -7.32 3.64 0.01 0.80 5.82
3 A TX-El Paso (11-17, 93.1) 95-40 -6.76 4.20 0.01 0.80 6.73
3 A Jacksonville (22- 9, 94.6) 89-49 -5.32 5.64 0.01 0.80 9.03
3 A AK-Pine Bl (15-16, 92.5) **-54 -7.42 3.54 0.01 0.80 5.67
3 A Kansas St (18-18, 95.8) 77-55 -4.13 6.84 0.01 0.80 10.93
3 A BYU (24-12, 96.1) 72-48 -3.79 7.17 0.01 0.80 11.47
3 H Utah (17-14, 95.8) 77-87 -4.09 6.87 -0.01 0.80 -1.64
3 A Oklahoma St (23-11, 96.6) 69-61 -3.29 7.67 0.01 0.80 12.26
3 A Arizona St (24-11, 96.2) 77-46 -3.71 7.25 0.01 0.80 11.60
3 A West Va (27- 8, 97.3) 51-50 -2.60 8.36 0.01 0.80 13.38
3 A West Va (27- 8, 97.3) 51-50 -2.60 8.36 0.01 0.80 13.38
3 A Arizona (12-18, 94.7) 78-62 -5.23 5.73 0.01 0.80 9.16
3 H Ohio St (27- 9, 97.9) 69-71 -1.98 8.98 -0.01 0.80 -0.79
3 A UCF (11-20, 94.4) 67-50 -5.47 5.49 0.01 0.80 8.78
3 A Kansas (22-14, 96.0) 79-77 -3.86 7.10 0.01 0.80 11.36
3 H Texas Tech (26- 8, 96.6) 60-62 -3.31 7.65 -0.01 0.80 -1.33
3 A Houston ( 7-23, 94.2) 90-45 -5.74 5.22 0.01 0.80 8.35
3 H Colorado (23-12, 96.4) 79-80 -3.52 7.44 -0.01 0.80 -1.41
3 A Baylor (25- 9, 97.0) 83-67 -2.87 8.09 0.01 0.80 12.94
3 A West Va (27- 8, 97.3) 59-50 -2.60 8.36 0.01 0.80 13.38
3 A Houston ( 7-23, 94.2) 72-50 -5.74 5.22 0.01 0.80 8.35
3 A Iowa St (21-11, 96.2) 80-73 -3.69 7.27 0.01 0.80 11.62
3 A Cincinnati (11-20, 94.8) 83-70 -5.14 5.82 0.01 0.80 9.31
3 A Baylor (25- 9, 97.0) 65-53 -2.87 8.09 0.01 0.80 12.94
3 A BYU (24-12, 96.1) 63-46 -3.79 7.17 0.01 0.80 11.47
3 A Kansas St (18-18, 95.8) 74-62 -4.13 6.84 0.01 0.80 10.93
3 H West Va (27- 8, 97.3) 53-62 -2.60 8.36 -0.01 0.80 -1.04
3 A UC San Diego (24- 9, 94.5) 86-40 -5.41 5.55 0.01 0.80 8.89
3 A Washington (23-11, 97.0) 62-59 -2.91 8.05 0.01 0.80 12.87
3 A Virginia (21-13, 96.1) 79-69 -3.77 7.19 0.01 0.80 11.50
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319.80
|
winning pts = 326.0063 losing points = -6.2067
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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